The present-day U.S. military qualifies by any measure as highly professional, much more so than its Cold War predecessor. Yet the purpose of today’s professionals is not to preserve peace but to fight unending wars in distant places. Intoxicated by a post-Cold War belief in its own omnipotence, the United States allowed itself to be drawn into a long series of armed conflicts, almost all of them yielding unintended consequences and imposing greater than anticipated costs. Since the end of the Cold War, U.S. forces have destroyed many targets and killed many people. Only rarely, however, have they succeeded in accomplishing their assigned political purposes. . . . [F]rom our present vantage point, it becomes apparent that the “Revolution of ‘89” did not initiate a new era of history. At most, the events of that year fostered various unhelpful illusions that impeded our capacity to recognize and respond to the forces of change that actually matter.

Andrew Bacevich


Thursday, March 17, 2016

Update for Thursday, March 17, 2016


U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry declares that IS is guilty of genocide, specifically against Christian, Yazidi and Shiite people in its territory. The ruling comes just ahead of a deadline specified in a congressional resolution. Although the declaration does impose legal obligations on the U.S., it is not clear that it makes much practical difference as the U.S. is already acting against IS.

The UN expresses concern about some 35,000 refugees fleeing fighting near Hit, where Iraqi forces are conducting an offensive against IS. Relief workers have limited access to the area.

Kurdish president Masoud Barzani says peshmerga forces are prepared to participate in the assault on Mosul, but there will have to be agreement on how the city will be administered after IS is expelled. His stated concern is for the welfare of "minorities," but it is unclear what he means. The city is majority Sunni Arab, and that is the group that has faced reprisals following previous reconquests by the Iraqi army and Shiite militias.

Palestinian-American Mohamad Jamal Khweis, who had joined IS and then turned himself in to Kurdish troops, is expected to provide valuable intelligence about the IS command structure.

An Iraqi aircraft is apparently shot down by IS forces, killing 5 crew members. This was a small plane apparently on a reconnaissance mission. The Iraqi military has confirmed that the plane crashed, but not that it was shot down.

This isn't strictly in Iraq, but the Iraq/Syria border is probably obsolete anyway. Several Syrian Kurdish and allied groups proclaim an "autonomous federation" in northern Syria.  This obviously doesn't sit well with the Assad government, and we'll probably be hearing from Turkey soon.

Turning to Afghanistan, reports are leaking that the Pentagon investigation into the attack on the MSF hospital in Kunduz is nearly complete and that no personnel will be court martialed. Twelve individuals will apparently receive letters of reprimand over the incident, in which a U.S. aircraft killed 42 people in a relentless attack lasting for an hour. (If this is really all that happens, we can expect a strong reaction from MSF and the human rights community. -- C)




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